Weather and Disaster LabLive risk checks from NOAA, NWS, and public hazard feeds

Your weather & hazard view

Weather Lab

See live source posture, short-term risk checks, medium-term hazard watches, and long-term climate/disaster signal hypotheses.

Your weather & hazard view

Weather Lab

See live source posture, short-term risk checks, medium-term hazard watches, and long-term climate/disaster signal hypotheses.

KELLY keeps location context, public source evidence, forecast confidence, reality closure, and replay proof separate so weather risk does not become vibes.

Next 24 hours

24-hour local hazard closure

What is the overall weather risk for my region over the next 24 hours?

Proof
Next 2 weeks

Storm/flood watch

Where is storm and flood risk strengthening over the next two weeks?

Proof
Next few months

Disaster pressure thesis

Which regions show rising disaster pressure across weather, water, fire, and infrastructure signals?

Proof
What KELLY is doing

This window shows what KELLY is doing in Weather Lab: what it is reading, what it thinks might matter, what proof exists, and what is still waiting.

How to audit it

Read the answer in this lab first. Open the proof shelf or JSON packet for the evidence behind it. Check the route status and last-checked timestamp before trusting freshness. Look for the mind-changer: the fact that would make KELLY revise the answer. If evidence is waiting, treat the output as a question or watch item, not a settled answer.

Evidence status

Live evidence appears only when KELLY exposes proof-linked sector output. Empty states are intentional waiting states, not filler.

What changes KELLY's mind

New approved evidence, a falsifier, settlement, replay drift, calibration movement, or memory-lineage revision.

What this window cannot do

This lab communicates with KELLY as an inspection window. It cannot write ground truth, memory, GraphState, provider state, or reality receipts.

Processing flow

How KELLY tracks weather risk with proof

01Read approved weather, water, fire, geography, and hazard sources with source freshness preserved.read sources
02Separate observation, region, hazard type, forecast horizon, uncertainty, and official alert authority.find your area
03Emit hazard watch cards, source freshness receipts, forecast deltas, and closure windows.forecast risk
04Route settled official outcomes into replay, calibration, and memory-lineage eligibility without becoming emergency authority.check reality

Ask KELLY here

Ask about weather or disaster risk

location off

Tap Use my location once for honest local weather reads. Coordinates stay in this browser tab only and are not written to KELLY Prime ground truth.

Causalea Settings
Ask contract

Education and forecasting only — not emergency, evacuation, medical, or safety authority. Always follow official alerts.

ready

KELLY answer lane

Ask about source posture, proof, falsifiers, forecast movement, settlement, calibration, or memory eligibility. The answer stays inside this lab and links back to Glass Lab where available.

HazardForecastCard

Live hazard watch — probability, coaches, feed honesty

Composed from Canon G library summary, Neon forecast showcase proofs, and optional viewport Ask lean. Education only — not emergency authority.

Composer: · Pin ready:

Feed-backed nodes:

Content hash:

checking
checking
checking
checking
See official alerts

Intensity & window

Waiting for first card refresh.

Time window:

Location:

Feed honesty:

Updated from NOAA & public sources

Live updates

Official alerts, forecasts, and proof-linked readings

connecting

Checking KELLY proof surfaces

This lab renders live proof-linked items when KELLY exposes matching sector evidence.

proof routeswaiting for first check
What KELLY is doing

This window shows what KELLY is doing in Weather Lab: what it is reading, what it thinks might matter, what proof exists, and what is still waiting.

How to audit it

Read the answer in this lab first. Open the proof shelf or JSON packet for the evidence behind it. Check the route status and last-checked timestamp before trusting freshness. Look for the mind-changer: the fact that would make KELLY revise the answer. If evidence is waiting, treat the output as a question or watch item, not a settled answer.

Evidence status

Live evidence appears only when KELLY exposes proof-linked sector output. Empty states are intentional waiting states, not filler.

What changes KELLY's mind

New approved evidence, a falsifier, settlement, replay drift, calibration movement, or memory-lineage revision.

What this window cannot do

This lab communicates with KELLY as an inspection window. It cannot write ground truth, memory, GraphState, provider state, or reality receipts.

Processing flow

How KELLY tracks weather risk with proof

01Read approved weather, water, fire, geography, and hazard sources with source freshness preserved.read sources
02Separate observation, region, hazard type, forecast horizon, uncertainty, and official alert authority.find your area
03Emit hazard watch cards, source freshness receipts, forecast deltas, and closure windows.forecast risk
04Route settled official outcomes into replay, calibration, and memory-lineage eligibility without becoming emergency authority.check reality

Sources

Official sources we watch

  • NOAA and National Weather Service
  • NOAA water and hydrology APIs
  • NASA hazard and earth observation feeds
  • GeoNames location context
  • Open-Meteo and public weather feeds

Proof standard

How users can tell

  • Private user location can guide a personal view without writing Prime ground truth.
  • Prime KELLY stays worldwide and source-governed.
  • Forecasts must name source freshness and uncertainty.
  • Reality closure checks official outcomes, not user preference.

Outputs

What you can see here

  • hazard_forecast_card
  • hazard_watch_cards
  • source_freshness_receipts
  • regional_risk_context
  • forecast_delta_receipts
  • official_outcome_closure_candidates

Storage posture

Postgres: central KELLY spine

Use canonical KELLY Neon/Postgres for hazard_observations, region_context, forecast_deltas, source_freshness, closure_windows, settlement, and calibration state.

Object storage

Immutable evidence shelf

Use R2/object storage for immutable forecast packets, alert snapshots, map/source bundles, and replay receipts.

Volume

No ground-truth volume

Optional local volume only for rebuildable map tile, geocoder, and model cache. It must never become canonical hazard memory.

Technical objects

Primary objects

  • region
  • hazard_type
  • source_freshness
  • closure_window

Proof receipts

Black-box recorder

  • official_alert_receipt
  • observation_receipt
  • forecast_delta
  • settlement_receipt

Authority

Write boundary

  • KELLY is the only write authority for durable learning.
  • Labs are read-only processors and inspection windows.
  • Glass Lab remains the traceable evidence console.
This is not emergency, evacuation, medical, or safety advice. Always follow official alerts and local authorities. Public users can ask, inspect, export local viewport data where supported, and follow proof links. They cannot edit KELLY Prime ground truth from this app.