Weather and Disaster Lab

Plain-language user guide

How to use Weather Lab

Three steps: set your location, check the hazard snapshot, then ask KELLY. Every read links to proof — not emergency advice.

Workflow

Use the lab in five moves

  1. Tap Use my location for a personal hazard read (coordinates stay in this browser tab only).
  2. Check the live hazard card for probability, time window, and active triggers.
  3. Pick a popular question or type your own — KELLY answers inside this lab.
  4. Open Glass Lab proof when you want to see the evidence behind a read.
  5. Use Advanced below the fold only when you need route health or audit detail.
For researchers & proof auditors

Artifact spine

The required proof path

actively_checked_or_pending

Source

Approved data feed, document, event, price, weather, policy, research, or odds source.

Glass Lab target

https://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=weather-disaster%3Asource

actively_checked_or_pending

Observation

A tagged fact candidate KELLY can inspect without trusting blindly.

Glass Lab target

https://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=weather-disaster%3Aobservation

actively_checked_or_pending

Hypothesis

The causal question, bridge, or forecast KELLY wants reality to test.

Glass Lab target

https://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=weather-disaster%3Ahypothesis

linked_when_kelly_emits_receipt

Proof receipt

The evidence packet that explains what KELLY saw and why it moved.

Glass Lab target

https://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=weather-disaster%3Aproof

linked_when_kelly_emits_receipt

Replay

The reconstruction path that proves the chain can be rebuilt later.

Glass Lab target

https://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=weather-disaster%3Areplay

linked_when_kelly_emits_receipt

Settlement

The reality-close record: what happened, when, and from which authority.

Glass Lab target

https://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=weather-disaster%3Asettlement

linked_when_kelly_emits_receipt

Calibration

The score that separates accuracy from confident language.

Glass Lab target

https://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=weather-disaster%3Acalibration

linked_when_kelly_emits_receipt

Memory eligibility

A replay-backed candidate that may influence future KELLY work.

Glass Lab target

https://glass-lab.up.railway.app?artifact=weather-disaster%3Amemory

Proof presets

High-value forecasts this lab is built to inspect

Next 24 hours

24-hour local hazard closure

What is the overall weather risk for my region over the next 24 hours?

Why this matters

Short-term proof that KELLY can track fast-changing reality from approved public feeds.

Reality signal

NOAA/NWS alert, current observation, water/weather update, closure receipt

Open proof target
Next 2 weeks

Storm/flood watch

Where is storm and flood risk strengthening over the next two weeks?

Why this matters

Medium-term proof that KELLY can connect geography, weather, hydrology, and source freshness.

Reality signal

forecast shift, hydrology threshold, hazard source, replay trail

Open proof target
Next few months

Disaster pressure thesis

Which regions show rising disaster pressure across weather, water, fire, and infrastructure signals?

Why this matters

Long-term proof that KELLY can remember recurring pressure and revise as reality changes.

Reality signal

multi-source trend, contradiction checks, settlement and calibration

Open proof target

Source families

What KELLY watches

  • NOAA and National Weather Service
  • NOAA water and hydrology APIs
  • NASA hazard and earth observation feeds
  • GeoNames location context
  • Open-Meteo and public weather feeds

Proof standard

What makes it trustworthy

  • Private user location can guide a personal view without writing Prime ground truth.
  • Prime KELLY stays worldwide and source-governed.
  • Forecasts must name source freshness and uncertainty.
  • Reality closure checks official outcomes, not user preference.

Boundary

What this is not

This is not emergency, evacuation, medical, or safety advice. Always follow official alerts and local authorities.

Every displayed forecast must link to Glass Lab or clearly say the artifact is pending.

User controls

Export, delete, location, feedback

Use Causalea Settings for browser-local export/delete, private coarse location, appearance, and feedback. This lab does not store precise coordinates and does not let public users write KELLY Prime.